COVID-19 Information - Stay up to date on mask orders, guidelines, vaccine, testing and local information.

Projections & Targets


Projections

Projections for population and housing needs were made as the basis of the plan recommendations. A market analysis was developed and is the basis for the economic projections. Progress made on the following projections will be updated as new data is available and tracked over the next 20 years to understand whether Lee’s Summit is on pace with the growth projections. If the pace of growth is not as projected, the City will adjust the strategy and actions to continue to provide the finest quality of life for all generations.

  

Population

Lee’s Summit will increase in population by 37,700 (38% over 20 years or 2% annually).

 

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Population Growth

Total Population Estimate

100,300

108,100

116,300

126,700

138,000

37,700

 

Projected Population Growth

2020-2025

2025-2030

2030-2035

2035-2040

2020-2040

% Change

Net Additional Population

7,800

8,200

10,400

11,300

37,700

38%

% Change in Population

8%

8%

9%

9%

38%

 

  


People Per Housing Unit

The number of people per housing unit will decline from 2.56 units to 1.8 people per new unity by 2040.

Current Residential Development By Type

Current Dwelling Units

Current Dwelling Units/Acre

% Current Dwelling Units

Total Future Dwelling Unis

Total Future % Dwelling Units

Future Dwelling Units Per Acre

Change Total Dwelling Units

Category 1

30,049

2.54

72%

38,532

65%

2.54

8,483

Category 2

5,562

8.36

13%

11,856

20%

12

6,294

Category 3

6,214

14.75

15%

8,892

15%

36

2,678

Total

41,825

 

100%

59,280

100%

 

17,455

  


Number of Housing Units

The number of housing units will increase by 17,455 (42% over 20 years or about 2% annually). This is not a complete build out of City residential development. Lee’s Summit will continue to grow after the 20-year timeframe.

42% Increase in Housing Units

Total Units in City

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

New Units Needed

Total Housing Units

41,825

46,530

51,080

57,100

59,280

17,455

  


Job Growth

Lee’s Summit’s share of regional job growth is 24,500 new jobs (25% increase) by 2040.

Current
Jobs

Future
Projected
Jobs

Increase
in Jobs

% Increase
in Jobs

Current Acres of
Nonresidential
Development

%
Increase

New
Commercial
Sq. Ft.

New
Industrial
Sq. Ft.

95,471

119,671

24,200

25%

2,980.94

20%

9,873,500

1,600,000

  


Development Space 

New job growth will require approximately 11.5 million additional square feet of nonresidential development by 2040.

  • This is the baseline projection of the portion of the Kansas City regional market Lee’s Summit is expected to capture.
  • Current nonresidential development in acres is 2,980.94. Increase by 20% or 610 acres. 
  • Healthcare, professional services, science and technology are growth sectors that are projected to require the largest increase in square footage.
  • 9.9 million square feet of new commercial/office/retail space.
  • 1.6 million square feet of new industrial space.

 

Nonresidential
Floor Area
by Job Sector

# of Jobs 2020
(ESRI)

% of
Jobs 2020

Increase Jobs
by 2040

% Increase in Jobs by
 Sector 2040

Total
Jobs in 2040

% of
Jobs in 2040

Additional
Sq. Ft. by
Sector

Additional Sq. Ft.
Floor Area Needed 
to Meet Demand

% of Additional
Sq. Ft. Floor Area

Construction

3.941

4%

1,360

35%

5,301

4%

200

272,000

2.40%

Education

8,868

9%

1,510

17%

10,378

9%

550

830,500

7.20%

Health Care

15,398

16%

4,330

28%

19,728

28%

650

2,814,500

24.50%

Industry/Manufacturing

8,025

8%

1,600

20%

9,625

8%

1,000

1,600,000

13.90%

Information Technology

3,265

3%

-70

-2%

3,197

3%

250

-17,500

-0.20%

Lodging & Dining

4,123

4%

790

19%

4,913

4%

500

395,000

3.40%

Management of Enterprises

191

0%

4,070

2,131%

4,261

4%

250

1,017,500

8.90%

Other Sectors

 19,398

20%

3,530

18%

22,928

19%

350

1,235,500

10.80%

Other Services

3,508

4%

770

22%

4,278

4%

300

231,000

2.00%

Professional Services,
Science, Technology

17,660

18%

4,880

28%

22,540

19%

500

2,440,000

21.30%

Real Estate

2,355

2%

200

8%

2,555

2%

200

40,000

0.30%

Retail Trade

8,737

9%

1,230

14%

9,967

8%

500

615,000

5.40%

Total Jobs by Sector

95,471

100%

24,200

 

119,671

112%

480

11,473,500

100%

 


Development Targets

Targets were established to help track progress toward projections, plan goals, objective and community vision.

Activity Centers

By 2040, develop 950 acres of walkable Activity Centers.

There are 3,078 acres within the five Activity Centers.

Housing Development

By 2040 develop:

  • 17,445 new housing units
  • a wider mix of housing increasing the overall "Missing Middle Housing" type:
    • Residential Category 1 - 65% (currently 72%)
    • Residential Category 2 - 20% (currently 13%)
    • Residential Category 3 - 15% (currently 15%)

Infrastructure

By 2040, the City will provide a stable base for maintenance by ensuring new development impacts are offset by revenues received.

Target COST/BENEFIT by 2040
Per Acre: $3,200
Per Housing Unit: $630
Per Capita: $113

Nonresidential Building Development

Currently 1,726 acres (56%) are developed and 1,352 acres (44%) are undeveloped.

By 2040:

  • develop 11.5 million additional square feet of nonresidential development
  • develop/redevelop along major corridors

Nonresidential Land Development

By 2040, increase nonresidential development by 610 acres or 20%.

  • Current nonresidential development in acres is 2,980.94.

Healthcare, professional services, science and technology are growth sectors projected to require the largest increase in square footage.
 

  • 9.9 million square feet of new commercial/office/retail space
  • 1.6 million square feet of new industrial space

Transportation

By 2040:

  • increase the percent of residential development within walking distance to commercial development to 27%
  • reduce vehicle miles traveled annually per household below 23,000
    • current average household vehicle miles traveled is 22,889
  • expand the connectivity of well-maintained, accessible sidewalks, trails and streets
  • reduce the number of sidewalk gaps by 50%
  • build a grid street network to improve connectivity and reduce the cost of new development
    • currently 126 miles or 63 lane miles of cul-de-sac streets
    • the number of miles of cul-de-sac streets should not increase over the next 20 years
  • implement the Greenway Master Plan
  • increase transit service

Environmental

By 2040:

  • reduce the number of structures located in the floodplain and the amount of repetitive flood damage (currently 200 dwelling units in flood-risk areas)
  • improve water quality in lakes, rivers and streams
    • total stream miles = 86.24; total bank miles - 172.48
    • waterway not meeting the water quality criteria are deemed "impaired." Big Creek is the only stream within Lee's summit on the state of Missouri's impaired waters list.

Tourism

By 2040, increase the number of visitors to Lee's Summit by 20%.

Parks

By 2040:

  • maintain the acres of parks per capita (12.5 per 1,000)
    • Lee's Summit is projected to have a population of 138,000 by 2040.
    • In order to maintain the current level of parks per capita, Lee's Summit will need a total of 1,725 park acres, an increase of 520 park acres over the current city-owned park acres.
  • increase the percent of the population within a 10-minute walk of a park
    • Lee's Summit currently has almost 30,000 dwelling units within a 10-minute walk distance (1/2 mile) from current local and regional parks.
    • Undeveloped land currently within a 10-minute walk distance totals almost 6,000 acres